Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGrimsby to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.69
Grimsby vs Burton Albion preview and prediction
The match
Burton Albion travel to Blundell Park in the EFL Trophy on Tuesday 6 October (19:00 WAT) to face Grimsby. Grimsby are 3rd with 3 points from 3 games, while Burton Albion sit 3rd on 3 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Grimsby's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Shrewsbury 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Burton Albion's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Huddersfield 1–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Grimsby and 1.5 for Burton Albion. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Grimsby 1–1 Burton Albion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Grimsby40%fair 2.52 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.25
Burton Albion37%fair 2.68 · @2.62
3.00Expected goals
1.53Grimsby xG
1.47Burton Albion xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Grimsby 1.5 – 1.5 Burton Albion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Grimsby to win✗
40%
2.52
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Grimsby / FT Grimsby✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.69
–
Form
Grimsby – last 6
LLLWWD
3 Oct
vs Shrewsbury
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Newport County
1–2
L
22 Sep
@ Notts County
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Crawley Town
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Bristol Rovers
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Cheltenham
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Burton Albion – last 6
LWDDLD
3 Oct
vs Huddersfield
1–3
L
26 Sep
@ Plymouth
1–0
W
22 Sep
vs Nottingham Forest U21
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Mansfield Town
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Oxford United
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs Cambridge United
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grimsby and Burton Albion.
What is the prediction for Grimsby vs Burton Albion?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Grimsby vs Burton Albion?
On our numbers Grimsby have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Burton Albion 37%.
How many goals will there be in Grimsby vs Burton Albion?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grimsby vs Burton Albion?
Our predicted score is Grimsby 1–1 Burton Albion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Grimsby vs Burton Albion?
Grimsby vs Burton Albion (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Blundell Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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