EFL Trophy · England · The Crown Ground
Accrington ST vs Salford City prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
Value bet: Salford City to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Accrington ST 1.9 – 3.1 Salford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Salford City shade it despite being away from home – 59% to win, against 22% for Accrington ST.
Accrington ST have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. Salford City have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. Salford City come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 5.0 goals (1.9 for Accrington ST, 3.1 for Salford City). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–3 (6%), 1–2 (6%), 2–3 (6%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is better than our fair price of 1.41, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Salford City to win at 1.91 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Salford City to win ✗ | 59% | 1.71 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.50 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 96% | 1.04 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Half-time result | Salford City ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.09 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Salford City / FT Salford City ✗ | 40% | 2.48 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–3 ✗ | 6% | 16.09 | – |
Form
Accrington ST – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs Cheltenham | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Swindon Town | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | vs Sunderland U21 | 3–3 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Newport County | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Barnet | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Crawley Town | 3–2 | W |
Salford City – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs Fleetwood Town | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Oldham | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | vs Sheffield Wednesday | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Swindon Town | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Rotherham | 3–3 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Port Vale | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Accrington ST and Salford City.
EFL Trophy table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 3 | 0 | 5 |
| 3 |  Wolves U21 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Wigan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
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Liverpool U210Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Salford City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Salford City?
On our numbers Accrington ST have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Salford City 59%.
How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Salford City?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
When is Accrington ST vs Salford City?
Accrington ST vs Salford City (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at The Crown Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.