Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
2
Value bet: Bradford to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBradford to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceBradford or draw ✓81% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 10.03
Rotherham vs Bradford preview and prediction
The match
The EFL Trophy sees Rotherham take on Bradford on Tuesday 6 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at New York Stadium. Rotherham are 2nd with 6 points from 3 games, while Bradford sit 2nd on 6 points. Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Rotherham's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Exeter City 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Bradford's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Reading 1–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bradford arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 February 2026, finished Bradford 1–0 Rotherham.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.0 for Rotherham and 2.0 for Bradford. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Bradford to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bradford or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rotherham 0–2 Bradford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rotherham19%fair 5.30 · @3.30
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.20
Bradford61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
3.00Expected goals
1.00Rotherham xG
2.00Bradford xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Rotherham 1.0 – 2.0 Bradford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Bradford or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Rotherham vs Bradford?
On our numbers Rotherham have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bradford 61%.
How many goals will there be in Rotherham vs Bradford?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rotherham vs Bradford?
Our predicted score is Rotherham 0–2 Bradford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Rotherham vs Bradford?
Rotherham vs Bradford (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at New York Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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