Wednesday, 11 November 2026 2 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
EFL Trophy · England · St James Park

Exeter City

WLDDL
2–2
FTPens 4–3

Oxford United

DWWLW

Exeter City vs Oxford United prediction & analysis

61%
Footrivo pick

Oxford United to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.85Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultOxford United to win ✗61% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.46

Exeter City vs Oxford United preview and prediction

The match

The EFL Trophy sees Exeter City take on Oxford United on Tuesday 6 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at St James Park.

Form guide

Exeter City's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Rotherham 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Oxford United's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Cambridge United 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.

Oxford United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.2 for Exeter City and 2.3 for Oxford United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 62%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Oxford United to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Exeter City 1–2 Oxford United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Exeter City21%fair 4.84 · @3.30
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @3.40
Oxford United61%fair 1.64 · @1.85
3.50Expected goals
1.24Exeter City xG
2.26Oxford United xG
62%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–210%
1–18%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Exeter City 1.2 – 2.3 Oxford United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOxford United to win ✗61%1.641.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81%1.231.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.86–
Half-time resultOxford United ahead at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Oxford United / FT Oxford United ✗39%2.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.46–

Form

Exeter City – last 6

WLDDLW
3 Octvs Rotherham1–0W
26 Sep@ Bristol Rovers0–1L
22 Sep@ Cheltenham2–2D
19 Sepvs Tranmere0–0D
12 Sep@ Port Vale0–1L
8 Sepvs Tottenham Hotspur U212–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Oxford United – last 6

DWWLWD
19 Sepvs Cambridge United1–1D
12 Sepvs Burton Albion3–0W
5 Sep@ Leicester4–0W
1 Sep@ Huddersfield1–3L
22 Aug@ Stevenage2–1W
15 Augvs Milton Keynes Dons2–2D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Exeter City and Oxford United.

Exeter City vs Oxford United head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardiff3201+26
2Exeter City3201+16
3Newport County3102-13
4Arsenal U213102-23

More EFL Trophy predictions

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FT Accrington ST1 Salford City1 Pens 5–4 122%3.25X20%3.40259%1.91 GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.50 ✓
FT Sheffield Wednesday2 Sunderland U210 167%1.36X18%5.00215%5.00 GGBoth teams to score 69%@1.50 ✗
FT Blackpool2 Crewe2 Pens 4–2 160%1.62X18%3.90222%3.90 GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.50 ✓
FT Rotherham0 Bradford4 119%3.30X20%3.20261%1.95 X2Bradford or draw 81%@1.29 ✓
FT Port Vale2 Mansfield Town0 144%2.50X22%3.10234%2.40 GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.57 ✗
FT Shrewsbury0 Stockport County2 114%4.50X19%3.50267%1.62 GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.70 ✗
FT Grimsby0 Burton Albion0 Pens 2–4 140%2.30X23%3.25237%2.62 GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.44 ✗
FT Fleetwood Town4 Barnsley1 121%3.10X21%3.80258%1.80 GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Exeter City vs Oxford United?

Our pick is Oxford United to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Exeter City vs Oxford United?

On our numbers Exeter City have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Oxford United 61%.

How many goals will there be in Exeter City vs Oxford United?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Exeter City vs Oxford United?

Our predicted score is Exeter City 1–2 Oxford United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Exeter City vs Oxford United?

Exeter City vs Oxford United (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at St James Park.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.