Value bet: Spalding United to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpalding United to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.31
Marine vs Spalding United preview and prediction
The match
Marine host Spalding United in the National League North on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Rossett Park. Marine are 20th with 16 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Spalding United sit 12th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Marine's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Warrington Town 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Spalding United's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Bury Town 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Marine and 1.2 for Spalding United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Marine 36%, draw 23%, Spalding United 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Spalding United to win at 2.62 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Marine 1–1 Spalding United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marine36%fair 2.76 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.40
Spalding United41%fair 2.43 · @2.62
2.30Expected goals
1.10Marine xG
1.20Spalding United xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Marine 1.1 – 1.2 Spalding United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spalding United to win✗
41%
2.43
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spalding United / FT Spalding United✗
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.31
–
Form
Marine – last 6
WWWWLL
3 Oct
vs Warrington Town
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Merthyr Town
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Radcliffe
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs Darlington 1883
2–1
W
8 Sep
@ South Shields
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Worksop Town
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Spalding United – last 6
WDLWWW
6 Oct
vs Bury Town
4–0
W
3 Oct
@ Bury Town
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Chorley
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Hanley Town
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Bedford Town
2–1
W
8 Sep
@ Spennymoor Town
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marine and Spalding United.
What is the prediction for Marine vs Spalding United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Marine vs Spalding United?
On our numbers Marine have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Spalding United 41%.
How many goals will there be in Marine vs Spalding United?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marine vs Spalding United?
Our predicted score is Marine 1–1 Spalding United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Marine vs Spalding United?
Marine vs Spalding United (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Rossett Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
