Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
1
Value bet: King's Lynn Town to win @ 2.75 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKing's Lynn Town to win ✓42% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.85
King's Lynn Town vs Buxton preview and prediction
The match
King's Lynn Town host Buxton in the National League North on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). King's Lynn Town are 6th with 27 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Buxton sit 7th on 27 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
King's Lynn Town's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat AFC Telford United 5–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Buxton's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to South Shields 0–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
King's Lynn Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 February 2026, finished Buxton 1–2 King's Lynn Town.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.9 for King's Lynn Town and 1.7 for Buxton. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: King's Lynn Town 42%, draw 23%, Buxton 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.57.
Value angle: King's Lynn Town to win at 2.75 – 42% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: King's Lynn Town 1–1 Buxton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
King's Lynn Town42%fair 2.36 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Buxton35%fair 2.89 · @2.25
3.55Expected goals
1.87King's Lynn Town xG
1.68Buxton xG
67%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
3–15%
From our goals model: King's Lynn Town 1.9 – 1.7 Buxton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for King's Lynn Town vs Buxton?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win King's Lynn Town vs Buxton?
On our numbers King's Lynn Town have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Buxton 35%.
How many goals will there be in King's Lynn Town vs Buxton?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for King's Lynn Town vs Buxton?
Our predicted score is King's Lynn Town 1–1 Buxton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is King's Lynn Town vs Buxton?
King's Lynn Town vs Buxton (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
