Harborough Town vs Southport prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Harborough Town to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHarborough Town to win ✓62% · @1.62
Double chanceHarborough Town or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.19
Harborough Town vs Southport preview and prediction
The match
Southport travel to face Harborough Town in the National League North on Saturday 10 October (15:00 WAT). Harborough Town are 19th with 17 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Southport sit 23rd on 10 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Harborough Town's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat St Albans City 3–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Southport's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Spennymoor Town 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Harborough Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Harborough Town and 0.8 for Southport. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Harborough Town 62%, draw 22%, Southport 16%.
Safer route: Harborough Town or draw (84%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Harborough Town to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Harborough Town 1–0 Southport. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Harborough Town62%fair 1.61 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.80
Southport16%fair 6.42 · @4.60
2.75Expected goals
1.91Harborough Town xG
0.84Southport xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Harborough Town 1.9 – 0.8 Southport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Harborough Town to win✓
62%
1.61
1.62
Double chance
Harborough Town or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Harborough Town ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Harborough Town / FT Harborough Town✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.19
–
Form
Harborough Town – last 6
WLWDLL
3 Oct
vs St Albans City
3–2
W
26 Sep
@ Macclesfield
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Rushall Olympic
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs AFC Telford United
0–0
D
8 Sep
vs Hereford
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ Brackley Town
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Southport – last 6
DLLWLL
26 Sep
vs Spennymoor Town
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ Morecambe
0–2
L
12 Sep
@ Worksop Town
0–2
L
8 Sep
vs Morecambe
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Spalding United
0–2
L
31 Aug
vs Hereford
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Harborough Town and Southport.
What is the prediction for Harborough Town vs Southport?
Our pick is Harborough Town to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Harborough Town vs Southport?
On our numbers Harborough Town have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Southport 16%.
How many goals will there be in Harborough Town vs Southport?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Harborough Town vs Southport?
Our predicted score is Harborough Town 1–0 Southport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Harborough Town vs Southport?
Harborough Town vs Southport (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
