Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChester to win ✓64% · @1.62
Double chanceChester or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.71
Chester vs Bedford Town preview and prediction
The match
Bedford Town travel to Deva Stadium in the National League North on Saturday 10 October (15:00 WAT) to face Chester. Chester are 8th with 26 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Bedford Town sit 10th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Chester's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Spennymoor Town 1–4 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Bedford Town's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Wingate & Finchley 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Bedford Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Chester and 0.7 for Bedford Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chester 64%, draw 21%, Bedford Town 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chester to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chester 1–0 Bedford Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chester64%fair 1.57 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.60
Bedford Town15%fair 6.73 · @4.60
2.50Expected goals
1.79Chester xG
0.71Bedford Town xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Chester 1.8 – 0.7 Bedford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chester to win✓
64%
1.57
1.62
Double chance
Chester or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Chester ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chester / FT Chester✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.71
–
Form
Chester – last 6
LWWLLD
3 Oct
@ Spennymoor Town
1–4
L
26 Sep
vs Worksop Town
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ Lower Breck
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Buxton
1–3
L
8 Sep
vs Merthyr Town
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Hebburn Town
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bedford Town – last 6
WDDWLW
6 Oct
@ Wingate & Finchley
3–1
W
3 Oct
vs Wingate & Finchley
2–2
D
26 Sep
vs Hereford
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs King's Lynn Town
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Spalding United
1–2
L
8 Sep
@ Worksop Town
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chester and Bedford Town.
What is the prediction for Chester vs Bedford Town?
Our pick is Chester to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Chester vs Bedford Town?
On our numbers Chester have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bedford Town 15%.
How many goals will there be in Chester vs Bedford Town?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chester vs Bedford Town?
Our predicted score is Chester 1–0 Bedford Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Chester vs Bedford Town?
Chester vs Bedford Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Deva Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.