National League North · England · Edgar StreetHereford vs Hednesford Town prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Hereford to win @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hereford 1.8 – 1.3 Hednesford Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Hereford hold the edge on home soil with a 51% chance of winning, against 28% for Hednesford Town.
Hereford have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 0.8 per game. Hednesford Town have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded. Hereford come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.8 for Hereford, 1.3 for Hednesford Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.63. For a bigger price, Hereford to win at 2.10 is our value angle (51% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Hereford to win ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | 2.10 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 39% | 2.57 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Hereford / FT Hereford ✗ | 31% | 3.27 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.46 | – |
Form
Hereford – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ Bedford Town | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Stafford Rangers | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs South Shields | 6–0 | W |
| 8 Sep | @ Harborough Town | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Spennymoor Town | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Southport | 1–0 | W |
Hednesford Town – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Radcliffe | 4–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Coventry United | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Hebburn Town | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Sep | @ King's Lynn Town | 3–2 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs South Shields | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | @ Spennymoor Town | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hereford and Hednesford Town.
National League North table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 14 | +15 | 27 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Hednesford Town | 16 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 16 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 |  Buxton | 16 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |  Morecambe | 15 | +5 | 23 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  AFC Telford United | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Hebburn Town | 15 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Brackley Town | 16 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 |  Harborough Town | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 |  Scarborough Athletic | 15 | -1 | 16 |
| 20 |  Marine | 14 | -2 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 15 | -9 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 15 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | -15 | 10 |
More National League North predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hereford vs Hednesford Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Hereford vs Hednesford Town?
On our numbers Hereford have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hednesford Town 28%.
How many goals will there be in Hereford vs Hednesford Town?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Hereford vs Hednesford Town?
Hereford vs Hednesford Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Edgar Street.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.