Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMerthyr Town to win ✗41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town preview and prediction
The match
Darlington 1883 host Merthyr Town in the National League North on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Blackwell Meadows. Darlington 1883 are 22nd with 12 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Merthyr Town sit 17th on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Darlington 1883's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Morecambe 0–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Merthyr Town's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Marine 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Merthyr Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Darlington 1883 and 1.5 for Merthyr Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 65%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Darlington 1883 36%, draw 23%, Merthyr Town 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Darlington 1883 1–1 Merthyr Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Darlington 188336%fair 2.76 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Merthyr Town41%fair 2.43 · @2.50
2.80Expected goals
1.35Darlington 1883 xG
1.45Merthyr Town xG
65%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Darlington 1883 1.3 – 1.5 Merthyr Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Merthyr Town to win✗
41%
2.43
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Merthyr Town / FT Merthyr Town✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.31
–
Form
Darlington 1883 – last 6
LDWLLL
3 Oct
@ Morecambe
0–3
L
26 Sep
vs Hebburn Town
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Redcar Town
4–2
W
12 Sep
@ Marine
1–2
L
8 Sep
@ Chorley
2–5
L
5 Sep
vs King's Lynn Town
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Merthyr Town – last 6
LLDDWW
26 Sep
vs Marine
1–2
L
22 Sep
@ Truro City
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Truro City
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Scarborough Athletic
0–0
D
8 Sep
@ Chester
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Macclesfield
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Darlington 1883 and Merthyr Town.
What is the prediction for Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town?
On our numbers Darlington 1883 have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Merthyr Town 41%.
How many goals will there be in Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town?
Our predicted score is Darlington 1883 1–1 Merthyr Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town?
Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Blackwell Meadows.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
