Southport host Morecambe in the National League North on Tuesday 8 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Haig Avenue. Southport are 23rd with 10 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Morecambe sit 9th on 23 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Southport's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Spalding United 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Morecambe's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Buxton 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Morecambe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Southport and 1.6 for Morecambe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 63%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Southport 1–1 Morecambe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Southport31%fair 3.18 · @2.90
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.40
Morecambe48%fair 2.08 · @2.05
2.84Expected goals
1.24Southport xG
1.61Morecambe xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Southport 1.2 – 1.6 Morecambe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Morecambe to win✗
48%
2.08
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Morecambe / FT Morecambe✗
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.68
–
Form
Southport – last 6
LLLWDD
5 Sep
@ Spalding United
0–2
L
31 Aug
vs Hereford
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Scarborough Athletic
1–5
L
22 Aug
vs Bedford Town
4–1
W
18 Aug
@ Hednesford Town
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Buxton
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Morecambe – last 6
WWWLLL
5 Sep
vs Buxton
4–0
W
31 Aug
@ Chester
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs AFC Telford United
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Radcliffe
1–2
L
18 Aug
vs South Shields
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Harborough Town
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Southport and Morecambe.
What is the prediction for Southport vs Morecambe?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Southport vs Morecambe?
On our numbers Southport have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Morecambe 48%.
How many goals will there be in Southport vs Morecambe?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Southport vs Morecambe?
Our predicted score is Southport 1–1 Morecambe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Southport vs Morecambe?
Southport vs Morecambe (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Haig Avenue.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
