National League North · England · New Bucks HeadAFC Telford United vs Oxford City prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Oxford City to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: AFC Telford United 1.3 – 1.4 Oxford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates AFC Telford United and Oxford City on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
AFC Telford United have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. Oxford City have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. Oxford City come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.3 for AFC Telford United, 1.4 for Oxford City). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, AFC Telford United have won 0, Oxford City have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.34. For a bigger price, Oxford City to win at 2.90 is our value angle (39% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Oxford City to win ✗ | 39% | 2.58 | 2.90 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.34 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.77 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.36 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.35 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Oxford City / FT Oxford City ✗ | 22% | 4.57 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.70 | – |
Form
AFC Telford United – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Scarborough Athletic | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | vs Bedford Town | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Aug | @ Morecambe | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Hednesford Town | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Aug | @ Merthyr Town | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ Worksop Town | 1–2 | L |
Oxford City – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Chorley | 4–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Worksop Town | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | vs Buxton | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Spennymoor Town | 4–1 | W |
| 18 Aug | vs Harborough Town | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ Spalding United | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 24 Feb 2026 | Oxford City v AFC Telford United | 0–0 |
National League North table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 14 | +15 | 27 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Hednesford Town | 16 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 16 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 |  Buxton | 16 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |  Morecambe | 15 | +5 | 23 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  AFC Telford United | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Hebburn Town | 15 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Brackley Town | 16 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 |  Harborough Town | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 |  Scarborough Athletic | 15 | -1 | 16 |
| 20 |  Marine | 14 | -2 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 15 | -9 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 15 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | -15 | 10 |
More National League North predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for AFC Telford United vs Oxford City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AFC Telford United vs Oxford City?
On our numbers AFC Telford United have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oxford City 39%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Telford United vs Oxford City?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is AFC Telford United vs Oxford City?
AFC Telford United vs Oxford City (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at New Bucks Head.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.