Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChorley to win ✓47% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Chorley vs Darlington 1883 preview and prediction
The match
Chorley host Darlington 1883 in the National League North on Tuesday 8 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Victory Park. Chorley are 13th with 20 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Darlington 1883 sit 22nd on 11 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Chorley's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Oxford City 0–4 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Darlington 1883's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to King's Lynn Town 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.7 for Chorley and 1.3 for Darlington 1883. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Chorley 1–1 Darlington 1883. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chorley47%fair 2.12 · @2.15
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.50
Darlington 188332%fair 3.08 · @2.88
3.00Expected goals
1.67Chorley xG
1.33Darlington 1883 xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Chorley 1.7 – 1.3 Darlington 1883 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chorley to win✓
47%
2.12
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chorley / FT Chorley✓
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.84
–
Form
Chorley – last 6
LDDWWL
5 Sep
@ Oxford City
0–4
L
31 Aug
vs Brackley Town
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Merthyr Town
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Scarborough Athletic
2–1
W
18 Aug
@ Marine
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ South Shields
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Darlington 1883 – last 6
LWLLLW
5 Sep
vs King's Lynn Town
0–2
L
31 Aug
@ Radcliffe
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Macclesfield
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Harborough Town
2–4
L
18 Aug
vs Chester
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Bedford Town
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chorley and Darlington 1883.
What is the prediction for Chorley vs Darlington 1883?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chorley vs Darlington 1883?
On our numbers Chorley have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Darlington 1883 32%.
How many goals will there be in Chorley vs Darlington 1883?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chorley vs Darlington 1883?
Our predicted score is Chorley 1–1 Darlington 1883, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Chorley vs Darlington 1883?
Chorley vs Darlington 1883 (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Victory Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.