Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Harborough Town to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHarborough Town to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.12
Harborough Town vs Hereford preview and prediction
The match
The National League North sees Harborough Town take on Hereford on Tuesday 8 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Harborough Town Community Football Ground. Harborough Town are 19th with 17 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Hereford sit 2nd on 30 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Harborough Town's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Brackley Town 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Hereford's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Spennymoor Town 2–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hereford arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.7 for Harborough Town and 1.0 for Hereford. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Harborough Town 56%, draw 19%, Hereford 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.48.
Value angle: Harborough Town to win at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Harborough Town 1–1 Hereford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Harborough Town56%fair 1.79 · @1.91
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.65
Hereford25%fair 4.03 · @3.25
2.75Expected goals
1.72Harborough Town xG
1.03Hereford xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–06%
From our goals model: Harborough Town 1.7 – 1.0 Hereford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Harborough Town to win✗
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.53
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Harborough Town / FT Harborough Town✗
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.12
–
Form
Harborough Town – last 6
LWLWDW
5 Sep
@ Brackley Town
0–1
L
31 Aug
vs Marine
2–1
W
28 Aug
@ Hednesford Town
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Darlington 1883
4–2
W
18 Aug
@ Oxford City
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Morecambe
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hereford – last 6
WWDWWW
5 Sep
vs Spennymoor Town
2–1
W
31 Aug
@ Southport
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Chester
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Worksop Town
3–0
W
18 Aug
vs Radcliffe
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Marine
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Harborough Town and Hereford.
What is the prediction for Harborough Town vs Hereford?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Harborough Town vs Hereford?
On our numbers Harborough Town have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Hereford 25%.
How many goals will there be in Harborough Town vs Hereford?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Harborough Town vs Hereford?
Our predicted score is Harborough Town 1–1 Hereford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Harborough Town vs Hereford?
Harborough Town vs Hereford (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Harborough Town Community Football Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
