National League North · England · The SilverlandsBuxton vs Brackley Town prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Buxton 2.0 – 0.9 Brackley Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Buxton are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 19% for Brackley Town.
Buxton have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.0 per game. Brackley Town have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.0 for Buxton, 0.9 for Brackley Town). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (11%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.29.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Buxton to win ✓ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.68 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Half-time result | Buxton ahead at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Buxton / FT Buxton ✓ | 39% | 2.57 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.23 | – |
Form
Buxton – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Morecambe | 0–4 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Merthyr Town | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ Oxford City | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Hebburn Town | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Aug | @ Bedford Town | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | @ Southport | 1–1 | D |
Brackley Town – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Harborough Town | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | @ Chorley | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Macclesfield | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Aug | vs King's Lynn Town | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Hebburn Town | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Aug | @ AFC Telford United | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buxton and Brackley Town.
National League North table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 14 | +15 | 27 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Hednesford Town | 16 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 16 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 |  Buxton | 16 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |  Morecambe | 15 | +5 | 23 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  AFC Telford United | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Hebburn Town | 15 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Brackley Town | 16 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 |  Harborough Town | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 |  Scarborough Athletic | 15 | -1 | 16 |
| 20 |  Marine | 14 | -2 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 15 | -9 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 15 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | -15 | 10 |
More National League North predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Buxton vs Brackley Town?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Buxton vs Brackley Town?
On our numbers Buxton have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Brackley Town 19%.
How many goals will there be in Buxton vs Brackley Town?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Buxton vs Brackley Town?
Buxton vs Brackley Town (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Silverlands.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.