Arsenal Tula vs FK Neftekhimik prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Arsenal Tula to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.72 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.72Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultArsenal Tula to win ✗63% · @1.72
Double chanceArsenal Tula or draw ✗83% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.77
Arsenal Tula vs FK Neftekhimik preview and prediction
The match
Arsenal Tula host FK Neftekhimik in the First League on Sunday 19 July, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadion Arsenal. Arsenal Tula are 12th with 19 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while FK Neftekhimik sit 17th on 13 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Arsenal Tula's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat Tekstilshchik 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
FK Neftekhimik's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Veles 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Arsenal Tula and 0.6 for FK Neftekhimik. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arsenal Tula 63%, draw 20%, FK Neftekhimik 17%.
Safer route: Arsenal Tula or draw (83%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.69.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Arsenal Tula to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.72, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Arsenal Tula 1–0 FK Neftekhimik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arsenal Tula63%fair 1.60 · @1.72
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.32
FK Neftekhimik17%fair 5.73 · @5.10
2.20Expected goals
1.57Arsenal Tula xG
0.63FK Neftekhimik xG
48%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Arsenal Tula 1.6 – 0.6 FK Neftekhimik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal Tula to win✗
63%
1.60
1.72 ▲
Double chance
Arsenal Tula or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.13
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.69
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.34
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.19
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal Tula / FT Arsenal Tula✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.77
–
Form
Arsenal Tula – last 6
WDDDLL
13 Jul
vs Tekstilshchik
2–1
W
4 Jul
@ CSKA Moscow
1–1
D
26 Jun
@ FC Sochi
3–3
D
21 Jun
vs Spartak Kostroma
1–1
D
17 Jun
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
1–2
L
11 May
@ Enisey
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FK Neftekhimik – last 6
LWDWDL
11 Jul
vs Veles
0–1
L
1 Jul
@ KAMAZ
3–2
W
28 Jun
@ Krylia Sovetov
1–1
D
25 Jun
@ FC Orenburg
1–0
W
18 Jun
vs KAMAZ
0–0
D
16 May
@ Ska-khabarovsk
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal Tula and FK Neftekhimik.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Tula vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our pick is Arsenal Tula to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.72.
Who will win Arsenal Tula vs FK Neftekhimik?
On our numbers Arsenal Tula have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FK Neftekhimik 17%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tula vs FK Neftekhimik?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tula vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Tula 1–0 FK Neftekhimik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Tula vs FK Neftekhimik?
Arsenal Tula vs FK Neftekhimik (First League) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Arsenal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
