Value bet: Spartak Kostroma to win @ 3.82 – our chance 34% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Sochi to win ✗42% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.38
FC Sochi vs Spartak Kostroma preview and prediction
The match
Spartak Kostroma travel to Fisht Olympic Stadium in the First League on Sunday 19 July (16:00 WAT) to face FC Sochi. FC Sochi are 4th with 32 points from 17 games (in the top four), while Spartak Kostroma sit 6th on 28 points (in the top half).
Form guide
FC Sochi's last 5: DLWDD Most recently they drew with Shinnik Yaroslavl 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Spartak Kostroma's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat KAMAZ 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for FC Sochi and 1.5 for Spartak Kostroma. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 52% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Sochi 42%, draw 24%, Spartak Kostroma 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.97.
Value angle: Spartak Kostroma to win at 3.82 – 34% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: FC Sochi 1–1 Spartak Kostroma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Sochi42%fair 2.40 · @1.98
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.20
Spartak Kostroma34%fair 2.92 · @3.82
3.17Expected goals
1.67FC Sochi xG
1.50Spartak Kostroma xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: FC Sochi 1.7 – 1.5 Spartak Kostroma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Sochi to win✗
42%
2.40
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.97 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
2.25 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Sochi / FT FC Sochi✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.38
–
Form
FC Sochi – last 6
DLWDDL
12 Jul
@ Shinnik Yaroslavl
2–2
D
3 Jul
vs Torpedo Moskva
0–3
L
30 Jun
vs Ska-khabarovsk
4–2
W
26 Jun
vs Arsenal Tula
3–3
D
17 May
vs Akhmat
1–1
D
10 May
@ Zenit
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Spartak Kostroma – last 6
WLLDDD
12 Jul
vs KAMAZ
3–1
W
3 Jul
@ Lokomotiv
0–2
L
2 Jul
@ Spartak Moscow
0–1
L
28 Jun
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
1–1
D
21 Jun
@ Arsenal Tula
1–1
D
10 May
@ FK Sokol Saratov
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Sochi and Spartak Kostroma.
What is the prediction for FC Sochi vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win FC Sochi vs Spartak Kostroma?
On our numbers FC Sochi have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Spartak Kostroma 34%.
How many goals will there be in FC Sochi vs Spartak Kostroma?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Sochi vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our predicted score is FC Sochi 1–1 Spartak Kostroma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is FC Sochi vs Spartak Kostroma?
FC Sochi vs Spartak Kostroma (First League) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Fisht Olympic Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
