Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.27 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.27Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 60% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNizhny Novgorod to win ✓51% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.49
KAMAZ vs Nizhny Novgorod preview and prediction
The match
KAMAZ host Nizhny Novgorod in the First League on Sunday 19 July, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at KAMAZ Stadium. KAMAZ are 16th with 14 points from 17 games (in the bottom three), while Nizhny Novgorod sit 1st on 46 points (top of the table). A gap of 32 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
KAMAZ's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Spartak Kostroma 1–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Nizhny Novgorod's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Rotor Volgograd 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.6 for KAMAZ and 2.2 for Nizhny Novgorod. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.00 – 60% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: KAMAZ 1–2 Nizhny Novgorod. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KAMAZ27%fair 3.66 · @3.32
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.22
Nizhny Novgorod51%fair 1.98 · @2.14
3.78Expected goals
1.59KAMAZ xG
2.18Nizhny Novgorod xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
2–27%
2–16%
1–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: KAMAZ 1.6 – 2.2 Nizhny Novgorod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nizhny Novgorod to win✓
51%
1.98
2.14 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.77 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.24
Half-time result
Nizhny Novgorod ahead at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nizhny Novgorod / FT Nizhny Novgorod✓
32%
3.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.49
–
Form
KAMAZ – last 6
LLDDLW
12 Jul
@ Spartak Kostroma
1–3
L
1 Jul
vs FK Neftekhimik
2–3
L
26 Jun
@ Rubin
1–1
D
18 Jun
@ FK Neftekhimik
0–0
D
11 May
@ Ural
0–2
L
1 May
vs Spartak Kostroma
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nizhny Novgorod – last 6
WLDLLL
12 Jul
vs Rotor Volgograd
4–2
W
4 Jul
@ Dynamo
1–2
L
17 May
@ Rubin
2–2
D
11 May
vs CSKA Moscow
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ FC Orenburg
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KAMAZ and Nizhny Novgorod.
What is the prediction for KAMAZ vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win KAMAZ vs Nizhny Novgorod?
On our numbers KAMAZ have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nizhny Novgorod 51%.
How many goals will there be in KAMAZ vs Nizhny Novgorod?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KAMAZ vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our predicted score is KAMAZ 1–2 Nizhny Novgorod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is KAMAZ vs Nizhny Novgorod?
KAMAZ vs Nizhny Novgorod (First League) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at KAMAZ Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
