Torpedo Moskva vs Volga Ulyanovsk prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.21 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.21Odds
1
Value bet: Torpedo Moskva to win @ 1.72 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✓64% · @1.72
Double chanceTorpedo Moskva or draw ✓85% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.71
Torpedo Moskva vs Volga Ulyanovsk preview and prediction
The match
Volga Ulyanovsk travel to Arena Khimki in the First League on Sunday 19 July (16:30 WAT) to face Torpedo Moskva. Torpedo Moskva are 3rd with 32 points from 17 games (in the top four), while Volga Ulyanovsk sit 9th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Torpedo Moskva's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Ural 1–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Volga Ulyanovsk's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Enisey 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Torpedo Moskva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 June 2026, finished Torpedo Moskva 1–0 Volga Ulyanovsk.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Torpedo Moskva and 0.6 for Volga Ulyanovsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Torpedo Moskva 64%, draw 21%, Volga Ulyanovsk 15%.
Safer route: Torpedo Moskva or draw (85%) at 1.16.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.98.
Value angle: Torpedo Moskva to win at 1.72 – 64% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Torpedo Moskva 1–0 Volga Ulyanovsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Torpedo Moskva64%fair 1.57 · @1.72
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.54
Volga Ulyanovsk15%fair 6.66 · @4.65
2.23Expected goals
1.63Torpedo Moskva xG
0.60Volga Ulyanovsk xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Torpedo Moskva 1.6 – 0.6 Volga Ulyanovsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Torpedo Moskva vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Torpedo Moskva vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
On our numbers Torpedo Moskva have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Volga Ulyanovsk 15%.
How many goals will there be in Torpedo Moskva vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torpedo Moskva vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Our predicted score is Torpedo Moskva 1–0 Volga Ulyanovsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Torpedo Moskva vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
Torpedo Moskva vs Volga Ulyanovsk (First League) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
