Value bet: Chelyabinsk to win @ 2.74 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChelyabinsk to win ✗40% · @2.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.94
Veles vs Chelyabinsk preview and prediction
The match
Veles host Chelyabinsk in the First League on Sunday 19 July, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Avangard Stadium. Veles are 5th with 31 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Chelyabinsk sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Veles's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat FK Neftekhimik 1–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Chelyabinsk's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Ska-khabarovsk 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Veles and 1.3 for Chelyabinsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Chelyabinsk to win at 2.74 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.34. Predicted score: Veles 1–1 Chelyabinsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Veles34%fair 2.95 · @2.67
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.94
Chelyabinsk40%fair 2.48 · @2.74
2.45Expected goals
1.16Veles xG
1.29Chelyabinsk xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Veles 1.2 – 1.3 Chelyabinsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chelyabinsk to win✗
40%
2.48
2.74 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.84
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.34
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.64
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.19
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chelyabinsk / FT Chelyabinsk✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.94
–
Form
Veles – last 6
WDLWDL
11 Jul
@ FK Neftekhimik
1–0
W
4 Jul
@ Ska-khabarovsk
2–2
D
21 Jun
@ Novosibirsk
1–2
L
17 Jun
vs Novosibirsk
4–1
W
13 Jun
vs Leningradets
1–1
D
7 Jun
@ Mashuk-KMV
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chelyabinsk – last 6
WDLWLD
13 Jul
vs Ska-khabarovsk
3–1
W
4 Jul
@ Ural
1–1
D
8 May
@ Rodina Moskva
0–2
L
2 May
vs FK Neftekhimik
2–0
W
26 Apr
vs Ural
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ Arsenal Tula
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Veles and Chelyabinsk.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Veles vs Chelyabinsk?
On our numbers Veles have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Chelyabinsk 40%.
How many goals will there be in Veles vs Chelyabinsk?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Veles vs Chelyabinsk?
Our predicted score is Veles 1–1 Chelyabinsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Veles vs Chelyabinsk?
Veles vs Chelyabinsk (First League) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Avangard Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
