Value bet: FC Augsburg to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Augsburg to win ✗42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.33
SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg preview and prediction
The match
The Bundesliga sees SV Elversberg take on FC Augsburg on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde. SV Elversberg are 7th with 13 points from 9 games (in the top half), while FC Augsburg sit 14th on 9 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
SV Elversberg's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Union Berlin 0–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
FC Augsburg's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with Bayern München 2–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.8 for SV Elversberg and 1.9 for FC Augsburg. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: SV Elversberg 36%, draw 22%, FC Augsburg 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.40.
Value angle: FC Augsburg to win at 2.62 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: SV Elversberg 1–1 FC Augsburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SV Elversberg36%fair 2.78 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.60
FC Augsburg42%fair 2.40 · @2.62
3.70Expected goals
1.78SV Elversberg xG
1.92FC Augsburg xG
70%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–18%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
0–15%
From our goals model: SV Elversberg 1.8 – 1.9 FC Augsburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Augsburg to win✗
42%
2.40
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
35%
2.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Augsburg / FT FC Augsburg✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.33
–
Form
SV Elversberg – last 6
LDLWWW
10 Oct
@ Union Berlin
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ FC Schalke 04
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Bayern München
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Borussia Mönchengladbach
4–3
W
29 Aug
vs Bayer Leverkusen
3–2
W
22 Aug
@ MSV Duisburg
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Augsburg – last 6
DDLDWW
10 Oct
vs Bayern München
2–2
D
2 Oct
vs Hertha BSC
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ Werder Bremen
2–3
L
12 Sep
vs Bayer Leverkusen
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
4–1
W
30 Aug
vs FC Schalke 04
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SV Elversberg and FC Augsburg.
What is the prediction for SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?
On our numbers SV Elversberg have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Augsburg 42%.
How many goals will there be in SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?
Our predicted score is SV Elversberg 1–1 FC Augsburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?
SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Waldstadion Kaiserlinde.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
