FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: FC Schalke 04 to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFSV Mainz 05 to win ✓41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.70
FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 preview and prediction
The match
FSV Mainz 05 travel to Veltins Arena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 17 October (14:30 WAT) to face FC Schalke 04. FC Schalke 04 are 17th with 6 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while FSV Mainz 05 sit 12th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
FC Schalke 04's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to SC Freiburg 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FSV Mainz 05's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Bayer Leverkusen 3–4 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for FC Schalke 04 and 1.7 for FSV Mainz 05. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: FC Schalke 04 to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Schalke 04 1–1 FSV Mainz 05. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Schalke 0436%fair 2.76 · @3.00
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
FSV Mainz 0541%fair 2.45 · @2.25
3.30Expected goals
1.60FC Schalke 04 xG
1.70FSV Mainz 05 xG
67%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: FC Schalke 04 1.6 – 1.7 FSV Mainz 05 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FSV Mainz 05 to win✓
41%
2.45
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.50
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FSV Mainz 05 / FT FSV Mainz 05✓
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.70
–
Form
FC Schalke 04 – last 6
LWDWDL
11 Oct
@ SC Freiburg
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ Austria Lustenau
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs SV Elversberg
0–0
D
11 Sep
@ Union Berlin
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Bayern München
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ FC Augsburg
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FSV Mainz 05 – last 6
LWWLWD
10 Oct
vs Bayer Leverkusen
3–4
L
3 Oct
@ Waldhof Mannheim
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Borussia Mönchengladbach
4–3
W
12 Sep
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
1–3
L
6 Sep
@ Hamburger SV
5–0
W
29 Aug
vs SC Paderborn 07
0–0
D
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Schalke 04 and FSV Mainz 05.
What is the prediction for FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?
On our numbers FC Schalke 04 have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FSV Mainz 05 41%.
How many goals will there be in FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?
Our predicted score is FC Schalke 04 1–1 FSV Mainz 05, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?
FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Veltins Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
