Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Werder Bremen or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWerder Bremen to win ✗58% · @1.75
Double chanceWerder Bremen or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 preview and prediction
The match
Werder Bremen host SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Weserstadion. Werder Bremen are 6th with 15 points from 9 games (in the top half), while SC Paderborn 07 sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Werder Bremen's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Borussia Dortmund 2–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
SC Paderborn 07's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to VfB Stuttgart 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Werder Bremen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 August 2026, finished Werder Bremen 2–2 SC Paderborn 07.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for Werder Bremen and 1.1 for SC Paderborn 07. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Werder Bremen or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Werder Bremen 1–1 SC Paderborn 07. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Werder Bremen58%fair 1.71 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.90
SC Paderborn 0720%fair 4.96 · @3.90
3.00Expected goals
1.95Werder Bremen xG
1.05SC Paderborn 07 xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Werder Bremen 1.9 – 1.1 SC Paderborn 07 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our pick is Werder Bremen or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
On our numbers Werder Bremen have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and SC Paderborn 07 20%.
How many goals will there be in Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Our predicted score is Werder Bremen 1–1 SC Paderborn 07, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Weserstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
