Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
VfB Stuttgart to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVfB Stuttgart to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart preview and prediction
The match
VfB Stuttgart travel to Volksparkstadion in the Bundesliga on Saturday 17 October (14:30 WAT) to face Hamburger SV. Hamburger SV are 11th with 12 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while VfB Stuttgart sit 8th on 12 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hamburger SV's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat 1899 Hoffenheim 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded.
VfB Stuttgart's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Slovan Bratislava 3–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
VfB Stuttgart arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.3 for Hamburger SV and 2.4 for VfB Stuttgart. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was VfB Stuttgart to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hamburger SV 1–2 VfB Stuttgart. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hamburger SV22%fair 4.46 · @3.75
Draw15%fair 6.85 · @4.20
VfB Stuttgart63%fair 1.59 · @1.75
3.70Expected goals
1.32Hamburger SV xG
2.38VfB Stuttgart xG
67%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Hamburger SV 1.3 – 2.4 VfB Stuttgart expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VfB Stuttgart to win✗
63%
1.59
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
VfB Stuttgart ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VfB Stuttgart / FT VfB Stuttgart✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.82
–
Form
Hamburger SV – last 6
WWWLLL
10 Oct
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
3–2
W
4 Oct
vs FC Copenhagen
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs 1. FC Köln
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ RB Leipzig
0–5
L
6 Sep
vs FSV Mainz 05
0–5
L
29 Aug
@ Borussia Dortmund
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
VfB Stuttgart – last 6
WWWWLL
14 Oct
@ Slovan Bratislava
3–0
W
10 Oct
@ SC Paderborn 07
2–0
W
1 Oct
vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
5–0
W
25 Sep
vs 1. FC Heidenheim
3–0
W
19 Sep
vs Borussia Dortmund
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hamburger SV and VfB Stuttgart.
What is the prediction for Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?
Our pick is VfB Stuttgart to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?
On our numbers Hamburger SV have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 15% and VfB Stuttgart 63%.
How many goals will there be in Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?
Our predicted score is Hamburger SV 1–2 VfB Stuttgart, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart?
Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Volksparkstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
