Value bet: Le Puy Foot to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultValenciennes to win ✓39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Valenciennes vs Le Puy Foot preview and prediction
The match
Valenciennes host Le Puy Foot in the National 1 on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stade du Hainaut. Valenciennes are 15th with 10 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Le Puy Foot sit 8th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Valenciennes's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to La Roche VF 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Le Puy Foot's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Villefranche 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Valenciennes and 1.3 for Le Puy Foot. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Valenciennes 39%, draw 24%, Le Puy Foot 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Le Puy Foot to win at 3.00 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Valenciennes 1–1 Le Puy Foot. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valenciennes39%fair 2.53 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Le Puy Foot37%fair 2.74 · @3.00
2.61Expected goals
1.34Valenciennes xG
1.28Le Puy Foot xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Valenciennes 1.3 – 1.3 Le Puy Foot expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valenciennes to win✓
39%
2.53
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valenciennes / FT Valenciennes✗
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.20
–
Form
Valenciennes – last 6
LLDDLW
19 Sep
@ La Roche VF
2–3
L
12 Sep
vs Fleury 91
1–2
L
3 Sep
@ Rouen
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Concarneau
0–0
D
20 Aug
@ Gobelins
1–2
L
14 Aug
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Le Puy Foot – last 6
WLDLWL
19 Sep
vs Villefranche
4–1
W
12 Sep
@ Quevilly
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Orleans
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Cannes
0–2
L
20 Aug
vs Amiens
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ Versailles
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valenciennes and Le Puy Foot.
What is the prediction for Valenciennes vs Le Puy Foot?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Valenciennes vs Le Puy Foot?
On our numbers Valenciennes have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Le Puy Foot 37%.
How many goals will there be in Valenciennes vs Le Puy Foot?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valenciennes vs Le Puy Foot?
Our predicted score is Valenciennes 1–1 Le Puy Foot, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Valenciennes vs Le Puy Foot?
Valenciennes vs Le Puy Foot (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Hainaut.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
