Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Concarneau prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Concarneau or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Concarneau to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultConcarneau to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceConcarneau or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.43
Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Concarneau preview and prediction
The match
Concarneau travel to Stade Marcel-Verchere in the National 1 on Saturday 26 September (19:45 WAT) to face Bourg-en-bresse 01. Bourg-en-bresse 01 are 18th with 6 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Concarneau sit 6th on 20 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bourg-en-bresse 01's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Gobelins 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Concarneau's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Caen 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Concarneau arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.7 for Bourg-en-bresse 01 and 1.6 for Concarneau. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Concarneau to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Concarneau or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Bourg-en-bresse 01 0–1 Concarneau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bourg-en-bresse 0117%fair 6.01 · @3.70
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.00
Concarneau60%fair 1.68 · @1.95
2.35Expected goals
0.72Bourg-en-bresse 01 xG
1.63Concarneau xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–213%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Bourg-en-bresse 01 0.7 – 1.6 Concarneau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Concarneau to win✗
60%
1.68
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Concarneau or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Concarneau / FT Concarneau✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.43
–
Form
Bourg-en-bresse 01 – last 6
DLLLLL
19 Sep
@ Gobelins
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Bastia
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Caen
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Aubagne
0–2
L
20 Aug
vs Thionville Lusitanos
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ Valenciennes
0–2
L
0.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Concarneau – last 6
WWDDWD
19 Sep
vs Caen
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Aubagne
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Thionville Lusitanos
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Valenciennes
0–0
D
20 Aug
vs Villefranche
2–0
W
14 Aug
@ Quevilly
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bourg-en-bresse 01 and Concarneau.
What is the prediction for Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Concarneau?
Our pick is Concarneau or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Concarneau?
On our numbers Bourg-en-bresse 01 have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Concarneau 60%.
How many goals will there be in Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Concarneau?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Concarneau?
Our predicted score is Bourg-en-bresse 01 0–1 Concarneau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Concarneau?
Bourg-en-bresse 01 vs Concarneau (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marcel-Verchere.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
