Value bet: Cannes to win @ 2.50 – our chance 49% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCannes to win ✗49% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.23
Orleans vs Cannes preview and prediction
The match
The National 1 sees Orleans take on Cannes on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stade de la Source. Orleans are 14th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Cannes sit 7th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Orleans's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Amiens 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Cannes's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Bastia 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cannes arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.9 for Orleans and 1.3 for Cannes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 47%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Orleans 29%, draw 22%, Cannes 49%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Cannes to win at 2.50 – 49% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Orleans 0–1 Cannes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orleans29%fair 3.49 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.10
Cannes49%fair 2.04 · @2.50
2.28Expected goals
0.93Orleans xG
1.35Cannes xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Orleans 0.9 – 1.3 Cannes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cannes to win✗
49%
2.04
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cannes / FT Cannes✗
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.23
–
Form
Orleans – last 6
LLDLWL
19 Sep
@ Amiens
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Versailles
0–4
L
5 Sep
@ Le Puy Foot
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs La Roche VF
0–1
L
20 Aug
@ Fleury 91
2–0
W
14 Aug
vs Rouen
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cannes – last 6
DDWWDD
17 Sep
@ Bastia
1–1
D
10 Sep
vs Amiens
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Versailles
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs Le Puy Foot
2–0
W
20 Aug
@ La Roche VF
1–1
D
14 Aug
vs Fleury 91
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orleans and Cannes.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Orleans vs Cannes?
On our numbers Orleans have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cannes 49%.
How many goals will there be in Orleans vs Cannes?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orleans vs Cannes?
Our predicted score is Orleans 0–1 Cannes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Orleans vs Cannes?
Orleans vs Cannes (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Source.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
