Value bet: Fleury 91 to win @ 3.60 – our chance 52% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +88%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFleury 91 to win ✗52% · @3.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.79
Fleury 91 vs Aubagne preview and prediction
The match
Aubagne travel to Stade Robert Bobin in the National 1 on Saturday 26 September (19:45 WAT) to face Fleury 91. Fleury 91 are 12th with 16 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Aubagne sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Fleury 91's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Thionville Lusitanos 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Aubagne's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Rouen 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Fleury 91 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 March 2026, finished Aubagne 1–2 Fleury 91.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.5 for Fleury 91 and 1.0 for Aubagne. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 50%.
Value angle: Fleury 91 to win at 3.60 – 52% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Fleury 91 1–0 Aubagne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fleury 9152%fair 1.92 · @3.60
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Aubagne26%fair 3.80 · @1.80
2.46Expected goals
1.50Fleury 91 xG
0.96Aubagne xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Fleury 91 1.5 – 1.0 Aubagne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Fleury 91 vs Aubagne?
On our numbers Fleury 91 have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aubagne 26%.
How many goals will there be in Fleury 91 vs Aubagne?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fleury 91 vs Aubagne?
Our predicted score is Fleury 91 1–0 Aubagne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fleury 91 vs Aubagne?
Fleury 91 vs Aubagne (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Robert Bobin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
