Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Rouen to win @ 1.73 – our chance 65% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRouen to win ✓65% · @1.73
Double chanceRouen or draw ✓89% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.77
Rouen vs Quevilly preview and prediction
The match
The National 1 sees Rouen take on Quevilly on Thursday 20 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stade Robert Diochon. Rouen are 2nd with 26 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Quevilly sit 10th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Rouen's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Orleans 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Quevilly's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Concarneau 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Rouen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Rouen and 0.5 for Quevilly. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rouen 65%, draw 25%, Quevilly 11%.
Safer route: Rouen or draw (89%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Rouen to win at 1.73 – 65% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Rouen 1–0 Quevilly. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rouen65%fair 1.55 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.35
Quevilly11%fair 9.27 · @4.50
1.99Expected goals
1.54Rouen xG
0.45Quevilly xG
47%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–016%
0–014%
1–110%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Rouen 1.5 – 0.5 Quevilly expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rouen to win✓
65%
1.55
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Rouen or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.13
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rouen / FT Rouen✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.77
–
Form
Rouen – last 6
WDWWLD
14 Aug
@ Orleans
2–1
W
7 Aug
vs Cannes
0–0
D
28 Jul
vs Al Wakrah
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ Boulogne
1–0
W
24 May
@ Laval
0–1
L
19 May
vs Laval
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Quevilly – last 6
DLWLLW
14 Aug
vs Concarneau
1–1
D
7 Aug
@ Gobelins
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs Oissel
2–0
W
18 Jul
@ Amiens
1–2
L
15 Jul
@ Laval
0–5
L
24 Apr
@ Orleans
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rouen and Quevilly.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Rouen vs Quevilly?
On our numbers Rouen have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Quevilly 11%.
How many goals will there be in Rouen vs Quevilly?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rouen vs Quevilly?
Our predicted score is Rouen 1–0 Quevilly, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Rouen vs Quevilly?
Rouen vs Quevilly (National 1) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Robert Diochon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
