Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLe Puy Foot to win ✓47% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.77
Le Puy Foot vs Amiens preview and prediction
The match
The National 1 sees Le Puy Foot take on Amiens on Thursday 20 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stade Charles Massot. Le Puy Foot are 8th with 18 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Amiens sit 5th on 20 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Le Puy Foot's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Versailles 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Amiens's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to La Roche VF 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Le Puy Foot and 0.8 for Amiens. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Le Puy Foot 47%, draw 21%, Amiens 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.73 – 64% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Le Puy Foot 1–0 Amiens. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Le Puy Foot47%fair 2.14 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.30
Amiens32%fair 3.09 · @2.90
1.76Expected goals
1.01Le Puy Foot xG
0.75Amiens xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–017%
1–113%
0–113%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Le Puy Foot 1.0 – 0.8 Amiens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Le Puy Foot to win✓
47%
2.14
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.73 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
5.77
–
Form
Le Puy Foot – last 6
LWLDLD
14 Aug
@ Versailles
0–1
L
7 Aug
@ Bastia
2–0
W
17 Jul
@ Montpellier
2–5
L
11 Jul
vs Dijon
1–1
D
1 May
@ Fleury 91
0–4
L
24 Apr
vs Versailles
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Amiens – last 6
LDWWDL
14 Aug
vs La Roche VF
0–1
L
7 Aug
@ Fleury 91
0–0
D
31 Jul
vs RED Star FC 93
3–1
W
31 Jul
vs Chambly Thelle FC
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Kortrijk
1–1
D
24 Jul
vs Boulogne
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Le Puy Foot and Amiens.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Le Puy Foot vs Amiens?
On our numbers Le Puy Foot have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Amiens 32%.
How many goals will there be in Le Puy Foot vs Amiens?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Le Puy Foot vs Amiens?
Our predicted score is Le Puy Foot 1–0 Amiens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Le Puy Foot vs Amiens?
Le Puy Foot vs Amiens (National 1) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Charles Massot.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
