Value bet: Versailles to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBastia to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.83
Bastia vs Versailles preview and prediction
The match
The National 1 sees Bastia take on Versailles on Thursday 20 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stade Armand Cesari. Bastia are 13th with 15 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Versailles sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Bastia's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Aubagne 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Versailles's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Le Puy Foot 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Bastia and 1.1 for Versailles. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Versailles to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Bastia 1–1 Versailles. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bastia41%fair 2.44 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.25
Versailles35%fair 2.84 · @3.20
2.41Expected goals
1.27Bastia xG
1.15Versailles xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Bastia 1.3 – 1.1 Versailles expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bastia to win✗
41%
2.44
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bastia / FT Bastia✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.83
–
Form
Bastia – last 6
WLLDDD
14 Aug
@ Aubagne
1–0
W
7 Aug
vs Le Puy Foot
0–2
L
10 Jul
@ Rodez
3–5
L
24 Apr
@ Clermont Foot
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Amiens
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Rodez
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Versailles – last 6
WLLDWD
14 Aug
vs Le Puy Foot
1–0
W
7 Aug
@ La Roche VF
2–3
L
22 Jul
@ Le Mans
1–3
L
11 Jul
@ Metz
1–1
D
8 Jul
@ Boulogne
1–0
W
1 May
vs Orleans
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bastia and Versailles.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Bastia vs Versailles?
On our numbers Bastia have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Versailles 35%.
How many goals will there be in Bastia vs Versailles?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bastia vs Versailles?
Our predicted score is Bastia 1–1 Versailles, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Bastia vs Versailles?
Bastia vs Versailles (National 1) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Armand Cesari.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
