Sestao River vs Real Oviedo II prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Sestao River or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sestao River to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSestao River to win ✓56% · @1.95
Double chanceSestao River or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.50
Sestao River vs Real Oviedo II preview and prediction
The match
Sestao River host Real Oviedo II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Estadio Las Llanas. Sestao River are 1st with 25 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Real Oviedo II sit 8th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Sestao River's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Badalona II 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Real Oviedo II's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Eibar II 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sestao River arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.3 for Sestao River and 0.7 for Real Oviedo II. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sestao River 56%, draw 22%, Real Oviedo II 21%.
Safer route: Sestao River or draw (79%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Sestao River to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sestao River or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sestao River 1–0 Real Oviedo II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sestao River56%fair 1.77 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @2.90
Real Oviedo II21%fair 4.69 · @3.80
2.00Expected goals
1.34Sestao River xG
0.66Real Oviedo II xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
0–014%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sestao River 1.3 – 0.7 Real Oviedo II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sestao River to win✓
56%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Sestao River or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sestao River / FT Sestao River✓
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.50
–
Form
Sestao River – last 6
DWWDLW
9 Sep
@ Badalona II
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Racing Santander II
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Derio
1–0
W
11 Aug
@ Gimnástica Torrelavega
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs Athletic Club
0–2
L
3 May
vs Utebo
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Real Oviedo II – last 6
WLLWLL
5 Sep
vs Eibar II
2–1
W
31 May
vs CD Coria
0–1
L
24 May
@ CD Coria
0–3
L
3 May
vs Langreo
3–2
W
26 Apr
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Racing Santander II
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sestao River and Real Oviedo II.
What is the prediction for Sestao River vs Real Oviedo II?
Our pick is Sestao River or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sestao River vs Real Oviedo II?
On our numbers Sestao River have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Oviedo II 21%.
How many goals will there be in Sestao River vs Real Oviedo II?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sestao River vs Real Oviedo II?
Our predicted score is Sestao River 1–0 Real Oviedo II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sestao River vs Real Oviedo II?
Sestao River vs Real Oviedo II (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Las Llanas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
