Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Portugalete to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortugalete to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chancePortugalete or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.42
Portugalete vs Compostela preview and prediction
The match
Portugalete host Compostela in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 10:30 (WAT). Portugalete are 6th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Compostela sit 5th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Portugalete's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Atlético Astorga 1–0 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Compostela's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Derio 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Portugalete arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.4 for Portugalete and 0.6 for Compostela. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Value angle: Portugalete to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Portugalete or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Portugalete 1–0 Compostela. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portugalete56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.90
Compostela19%fair 5.31 · @3.80
2.00Expected goals
1.36Portugalete xG
0.64Compostela xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
0–014%
2–013%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Portugalete 1.4 – 0.6 Compostela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portugalete to win✗
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Portugalete or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portugalete / FT Portugalete✗
32%
3.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.42
–
Form
Portugalete – last 6
WWWWDW
5 Sep
@ Atlético Astorga
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Barakaldo
2–0
W
17 Apr
vs Eibar III
4–2
W
1 Apr
vs Durango
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Aretxabaleta
2–2
D
19 Mar
vs Zamudio
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Compostela – last 6
DLLLWW
9 Sep
vs Derio
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Marino de Luanco
0–3
L
18 Jul
vs Deportivo La Coruna
0–4
L
21 Jun
@ Badalona II
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Badalona II
3–0
W
7 Jun
vs Atlético Arteixo
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portugalete and Compostela.
What is the prediction for Portugalete vs Compostela?
Our pick is Portugalete or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Portugalete vs Compostela?
On our numbers Portugalete have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Compostela 19%.
How many goals will there be in Portugalete vs Compostela?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portugalete vs Compostela?
Our predicted score is Portugalete 1–0 Compostela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Portugalete vs Compostela?
Portugalete vs Compostela (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
