Marino de Luanco vs Ourense CF preview and prediction
The match
Marino de Luanco host Ourense CF in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1 on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Marino de Luanco are 16th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Ourense CF sit 10th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Marino de Luanco's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Compostela 3–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Ourense CF's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Basconia 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Marino de Luanco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Marino de Luanco and 1.4 for Ourense CF. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.77, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Marino de Luanco 1–1 Ourense CF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marino de Luanco39%fair 2.56 · @2.80
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.62
Ourense CF34%fair 2.97 · @2.62
3.00Expected goals
1.56Marino de Luanco xG
1.44Ourense CF xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Marino de Luanco 1.6 – 1.4 Ourense CF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marino de Luanco to win✗
39%
2.56
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.44
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marino de Luanco / FT Marino de Luanco✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.46
–
Form
Marino de Luanco – last 6
WLLWWL
6 Sep
@ Compostela
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Ponferradina
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Sporting Gijón II
0–1
L
29 Jul
vs Real Avilés
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Sporting Gijon
2–1
W
3 May
@ Numancia
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ourense CF – last 6
WLLDLD
6 Sep
vs Basconia
2–1
W
21 Aug
@ Lugo
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Pontevedra
1–2
L
14 Apr
@ Real Madrid II
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Real Avilés
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Ponferradina
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marino de Luanco and Ourense CF.
What is the prediction for Marino de Luanco vs Ourense CF?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Marino de Luanco vs Ourense CF?
On our numbers Marino de Luanco have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ourense CF 34%.
How many goals will there be in Marino de Luanco vs Ourense CF?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marino de Luanco vs Ourense CF?
Our predicted score is Marino de Luanco 1–1 Ourense CF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Marino de Luanco vs Ourense CF?
Marino de Luanco vs Ourense CF (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
