Value bet: Sao Jose to win @ 3.50 – our chance 37% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSao Jose to win ✗37% · @3.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.07
Portuguesa RJ vs Sao Jose preview and prediction
The match
Portuguesa RJ host Sao Jose in the Serie D on Sunday 12 July, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Luso Brasileiro.
Form guide
Portuguesa RJ's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Sao Jose 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Sao Jose's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Portuguesa RJ 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sao Jose arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 July 2026, finished Sao Jose 1–0 Portuguesa RJ.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Portuguesa RJ and 1.0 for Sao Jose. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Portuguesa RJ 36%, draw 27%, Sao Jose 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Sao Jose to win at 3.50 – 37% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 2.15, above our fair price of 2.00, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Portuguesa RJ 1–1 Sao Jose. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portuguesa RJ36%fair 2.77 · @2.20
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @2.60
Sao Jose37%fair 2.74 · @3.50
1.92Expected goals
0.96Portuguesa RJ xG
0.96Sao Jose xG
50%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
0–114%
1–014%
1–114%
0–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Portuguesa RJ 1.0 – 1.0 Sao Jose expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Portuguesa RJ vs Sao Jose?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Portuguesa RJ vs Sao Jose?
On our numbers Portuguesa RJ have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sao Jose 37%.
How many goals will there be in Portuguesa RJ vs Sao Jose?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portuguesa RJ vs Sao Jose?
Our predicted score is Portuguesa RJ 1–1 Sao Jose, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Portuguesa RJ vs Sao Jose?
Portuguesa RJ vs Sao Jose (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luso Brasileiro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Luso Brasileiro
São Luiz2
Velo Clube1
ABC3
Águia de Marabá0
Gama2
Porto Velho0
Iguatu2
Maguary PE1
Manauara1
Goiatuba EC2
Uberlandia2
Serra Branca2
Capital Brasilia1
Nacional AM0
Ferroviario3
Imperatriz0