Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 50% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGama to win ✓73% · @1.27
Double chanceGama or draw ✓90% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓13% · fair 7.94
Gama vs Porto Velho preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D sees Gama take on Porto Velho on Sunday 12 July, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Gama's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Porto Velho 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Porto Velho's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Gama 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 July 2026, finished Porto Velho 2–0 Gama.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Gama and 0.7 for Porto Velho. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 50% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gama 73%, draw 17%, Porto Velho 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.50.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.50 – 50% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Gama 2–0 Porto Velho. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gama73%fair 1.37 · @1.27
Draw17%fair 5.91 · @4.50
Porto Velho10%fair 9.76 · @10.00
3.06Expected goals
2.32Gama xG
0.74Porto Velho xG
50%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Gama 2.3 – 0.7 Porto Velho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Gama vs Porto Velho?
On our numbers Gama have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Porto Velho 10%.
How many goals will there be in Gama vs Porto Velho?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gama vs Porto Velho?
Our predicted score is Gama 2–0 Porto Velho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Gama vs Porto Velho?
Gama vs Porto Velho (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.