Serie D · Brazil
Uberlandia vs Serra Branca prediction & analysis
Uberlandia or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Uberlandia to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Uberlandia 1.5 – 0.6 Serra Branca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Uberlandia are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 16% for Serra Branca.
Uberlandia have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.7 per game. Serra Branca have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 0.8 scored and 0.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.5 for Uberlandia, 0.6 for Serra Branca). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (18%), 2–0 (14%), 0–0 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Uberlandia have won 1, Serra Branca have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Uberlandia or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Uberlandia to win at 1.95 is our value angle (61% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Uberlandia to win ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Uberlandia or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 1.91 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 80% | 1.26 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Uberlandia / FT Uberlandia ✗ | 36% | 2.75 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 18% | 5.70 | – |
Form
Uberlandia – last 6
| 4 Jul | @ Serra Branca | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Jun | vs Rio Branco ES | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Jun | @ Rio Branco ES | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Jun | vs ABECAT Ouvidorense | 0–1 | L |
| 31 May | @ Ivinhema | 1–1 | D |
| 24 May | @ CRAC | 0–0 | D |
Serra Branca – last 6
| 4 Jul | vs Uberlandia | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jun | @ Juazeirense | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jun | vs Juazeirense | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Jun | @ Sergipe | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | vs Retrô | 0–0 | D |
| 24 May | @ Decisão | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 4 Jul 2026 | Serra Branca v Uberlandia | 0–1 |
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Imperatriz0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Uberlandia vs Serra Branca?
Our pick is Uberlandia or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Uberlandia vs Serra Branca?
On our numbers Uberlandia have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Serra Branca 16%.
How many goals will there be in Uberlandia vs Serra Branca?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Uberlandia vs Serra Branca?
Uberlandia vs Serra Branca (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.