Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
Serie D · Brazil

ABC

LDWWW
3–0
FT

Águia de Marabá

WWLLW

ABC vs Águia de Marabá prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultABC to win ✓61% · @1.48
Double chanceABC or draw ✓85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.07

ABC vs Águia de Marabá preview and prediction

The match

ABC host Águia de Marabá in the Serie D on Sunday 12 July, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT).

Form guide

ABC's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Águia de Marabá 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Águia de Marabá's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat ABC 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 4 July 2026, finished Águia de Marabá 2–1 ABC.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for ABC and 0.8 for Águia de Marabá. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: ABC 1–0 Águia de Marabá. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

ABC61%fair 1.64 · @1.48
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.60
Águia de Marabá15%fair 6.77 · @6.25
2.53Expected goals
1.77ABC xG
0.76Águia de Marabá xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: ABC 1.8 – 0.8 Águia de Marabá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultABC to win ✓61%1.641.48
Double chanceABC or draw ✓85%1.171.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.842.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.28
Half-time resultABC ahead at half-time ✓43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT ABC / FT ABC ✓39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%7.07–

Form

ABC – last 6

LDWWWL
4 Jul@ Águia de Marabá1–2L
28 Junvs Altos1–1D
21 Jun@ Altos1–0W
14 Junvs Maguary PE1–0W
31 May@ Laguna2–0W
28 Mayvs Vitoria3–4L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Águia de Marabá – last 6

WWLLWW
4 Julvs ABC2–1W
27 Junvs Parnahyba2–0W
21 Jun@ Parnahyba1–2L
6 Jun@ Trem0–2L
30 Mayvs Tocantinópolis3–1W
23 May@ Imperatriz3–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Jul 2026Águia de Marabá v ABC2–1
ABC vs Águia de Marabá head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT São Luiz2 Velo Clube1 Pens 5–3 143%2.10X25%2.70232%3.60 GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.05 ✓
FT Gama2 Porto Velho0 Pens 5–4 173%1.27X17%4.50210%10.00 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Iguatu2 Maguary PE1 162%1.95X23%3.00215%3.80 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Manauara1 Goiatuba EC2 Pens 3–4 165%1.85X23%2.90212%4.33 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Portuguesa RJ0 Sao Jose0 136%2.20X27%2.60237%3.50 GGBoth teams to score 50%@2.15 ✗
FT Uberlandia2 Serra Branca2 161%1.95X23%3.10216%3.60 1XUberlandia or draw 84%@1.22 ✓
FT Capital Brasilia1 Nacional AM0 Pens 5–6 159%1.62X25%3.25217%5.00 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 63%@1.50 ✓
FT Ferroviario3 Imperatriz0 160%1.53X22%3.25217%6.00 1Ferroviario to win 60%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for ABC vs Águia de Marabá?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win ABC vs Águia de Marabá?

On our numbers ABC have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Águia de Marabá 15%.

How many goals will there be in ABC vs Águia de Marabá?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for ABC vs Águia de Marabá?

Our predicted score is ABC 1–0 Águia de Marabá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is ABC vs Águia de Marabá?

ABC vs Águia de Marabá (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.