League Two · England · York Community StadiumYork vs Port Vale prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Port Vale to win @ 3.50 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: York 1.2 – 1.0 Port Vale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
York hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 35% for Port Vale.
York have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (1W 4D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 per game. Port Vale have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. Port Vale come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.2 for York, 1.0 for Port Vale). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (11%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is close to our fair price of 1.74. For a bigger price, Port Vale to win at 3.50 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | York to win ✓ | 44% | 2.26 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.74 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT York / FT York ✗ | 23% | 4.30 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.96 | – |
Form
York – last 6
| 20 Oct | vs Accrington ST | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Newport County | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs Northampton | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Gillingham | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | vs Rotherham | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Chesterfield | 0–2 | L |
Port Vale – last 6
| 20 Oct | @ Gillingham | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Chesterfield | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Grimsby | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Oct | vs Mansfield Town | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | @ Chesterfield | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Walsall | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between York and Port Vale.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for York vs Port Vale?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win York vs Port Vale?
On our numbers York have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Port Vale 35%.
How many goals will there be in York vs Port Vale?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is York vs Port Vale?
York vs Port Vale (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at York Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.