Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Walsall to win @ 1.70 – our chance 66% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWalsall to win ✗66% · @1.70
Double chanceWalsall or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.59
Walsall vs Rochdale preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Walsall take on Rochdale on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Bescot Stadium. Walsall are 3rd with 22 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Rochdale sit 20th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Walsall's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Exeter City 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rochdale's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Gillingham 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Walsall arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Walsall and 0.7 for Rochdale. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Walsall 66%, draw 22%, Rochdale 13%.
Safer route: Walsall or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Walsall to win at 1.70 – 66% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Walsall or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Walsall 1–0 Rochdale. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Walsall66%fair 1.52 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.50
Rochdale13%fair 7.90 · @4.50
2.70Expected goals
1.96Walsall xG
0.74Rochdale xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Walsall 2.0 – 0.7 Rochdale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Walsall to win✗
66%
1.52
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Walsall or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Walsall ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Walsall / FT Walsall✗
42%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.59
–
Form
Walsall – last 6
DDWDDW
5 Sep
@ Exeter City
0–0
D
1 Sep
@ Crewe
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Accrington ST
3–2
W
25 Aug
vs Leyton Orient
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Grimsby
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Gillingham
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rochdale – last 6
LWLLLL
5 Sep
vs Gillingham
1–4
L
1 Sep
vs Shrewsbury
3–0
W
29 Aug
@ Colchester
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Crawley Town
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Newport County
0–3
L
8 Aug
@ Bradford
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Walsall and Rochdale.
Our pick is Walsall or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Walsall vs Rochdale?
On our numbers Walsall have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rochdale 13%.
How many goals will there be in Walsall vs Rochdale?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Walsall vs Rochdale?
Our predicted score is Walsall 1–0 Rochdale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Walsall vs Rochdale?
Walsall vs Rochdale (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Bescot Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
