Newport County vs Fleetwood Town prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFleetwood Town to win ✗48% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Newport County vs Fleetwood Town preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Newport County take on Fleetwood Town on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Rodney Parade. Newport County are 14th with 18 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Fleetwood Town sit 16th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Newport County's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Northampton 0–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Fleetwood Town's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Shrewsbury 2–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fleetwood Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Newport County and 1.6 for Fleetwood Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newport County 31%, draw 21%, Fleetwood Town 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Newport County 1–1 Fleetwood Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newport County31%fair 3.23 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.30
Fleetwood Town48%fair 2.08 · @2.10
2.80Expected goals
1.21Newport County xG
1.59Fleetwood Town xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Newport County 1.2 – 1.6 Fleetwood Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fleetwood Town to win✗
48%
2.08
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fleetwood Town / FT Fleetwood Town✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.35
–
Form
Newport County – last 6
LLDLWD
5 Sep
@ Northampton
0–1
L
1 Sep
@ Salford City
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Tranmere
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Bristol Rovers
3–5
L
15 Aug
vs Rochdale
3–0
W
8 Aug
@ AFC Wimbledon
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Fleetwood Town – last 6
WDDWDW
5 Sep
vs Shrewsbury
2–0
W
1 Sep
vs Oldham
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Grimsby
2–2
D
25 Aug
vs Shrewsbury
4–0
W
22 Aug
vs Gillingham
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Chesterfield
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newport County and Fleetwood Town.
What is the prediction for Newport County vs Fleetwood Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Newport County vs Fleetwood Town?
On our numbers Newport County have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fleetwood Town 48%.
How many goals will there be in Newport County vs Fleetwood Town?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newport County vs Fleetwood Town?
Our predicted score is Newport County 1–1 Fleetwood Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Newport County vs Fleetwood Town?
Newport County vs Fleetwood Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Rodney Parade.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
