League Two · England · Vale ParkPort Vale vs Exeter City prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.92 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Exeter City to win @ 3.40 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Port Vale 0.9 – 0.8 Exeter City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Port Vale hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 35% for Exeter City.
Port Vale have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 1.7 per game. Exeter City have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. Exeter City come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.7 goals (0.9 for Port Vale, 0.8 for Exeter City). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 76% likely. Most likely scores: 0–0 (18%), 1–0 (17%), 0–1 (14%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 52% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is close to our fair price of 1.92. For a bigger price, Exeter City to win at 3.40 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Port Vale to win ✓ | 44% | 2.27 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 26% | 3.87 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 17% | 5.88 | – |
Form
Port Vale – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Salford City | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Sep | @ Swindon Town | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Crewe | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Tranmere | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ Oldham | 0–2 | L |
| 7 Aug | @ Wolves | 0–3 | L |
Exeter City – last 6
| 8 Sep | vs Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Walsall | 0–0 | D |
| 1 Sep | vs Barnet | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ York | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Accrington ST | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Grimsby | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Port Vale and Exeter City.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Port Vale vs Exeter City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Port Vale vs Exeter City?
On our numbers Port Vale have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Exeter City 35%.
How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Exeter City?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Port Vale vs Exeter City?
Port Vale vs Exeter City (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vale Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.