Crawley Town vs Cheltenham prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Value bet: Cheltenham to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Crawley Town 1.6 – 1.6 Cheltenham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Crawley Town and Cheltenham on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 41% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Crawley Town have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Cheltenham have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded. Cheltenham come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.2 goals (1.6 for Crawley Town, 1.6 for Cheltenham). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.57. For a bigger price, Cheltenham to win at 2.62 is our value angle (41% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cheltenham to win ✓ | 41% | 2.45 | 2.62 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 38% | 2.62 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Cheltenham / FT Cheltenham ✓ | 24% | 4.14 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.63 | – |
Form
Crawley Town – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Accrington ST | 2–3 | L |
| 1 Sep | @ Northampton | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Bristol Rovers | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Rochdale | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Crewe | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Watford | 0–1 | L |
Cheltenham – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Grimsby | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Sep | vs York | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Barnet | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Swindon Town | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Rotherham | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Charlton | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crawley Town and Cheltenham.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Crawley Town vs Cheltenham?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Crawley Town vs Cheltenham?
On our numbers Crawley Town have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cheltenham 41%.
How many goals will there be in Crawley Town vs Cheltenham?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Crawley Town vs Cheltenham?
Crawley Town vs Cheltenham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at The Broadfield Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.























