League Two · England · Blundell ParkGrimsby vs Bristol Rovers prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Bristol Rovers to win @ 2.70 – our chance 44% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Grimsby 1.5 – 1.6 Bristol Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Bristol Rovers shade it despite being away from home – 44% to win, against 35% for Grimsby.
Grimsby have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (1W 4D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Bristol Rovers have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. Bristol Rovers come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.5 for Grimsby, 1.6 for Bristol Rovers). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Grimsby have won 0, Bristol Rovers have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.60 is close to our fair price of 1.58. For a bigger price, Bristol Rovers to win at 2.70 is our value angle (44% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bristol Rovers to win ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | 2.70 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.23 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.60 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 39% | 2.57 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bristol Rovers / FT Bristol Rovers ✗ | 25% | 3.95 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.27 | – |
Form
Grimsby – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Cheltenham | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Sep | @ Accrington ST | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | vs Fleetwood Town | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Walsall | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Exeter City | 1–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Blackpool | 1–3 | L |
Bristol Rovers – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs Rotherham | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs Colchester | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Crawley Town | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | vs Chelsea U21 | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Newport County | 5–3 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ York | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
| 21 Feb 2026 | Bristol Rovers v Grimsby | 3–1 |
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers?
On our numbers Grimsby have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bristol Rovers 44%.
How many goals will there be in Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers?
Grimsby vs Bristol Rovers (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Blundell Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.