League Two · EnglandColchester vs Crewe prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
Value bet: Crewe to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Colchester 1.1 – 1.1 Crewe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Colchester and Crewe on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Colchester have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Crewe have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.2 goals (1.1 for Colchester, 1.1 for Crewe). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (12%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.65 is close to our fair price of 1.75. For a bigger price, Crewe to win at 3.10 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Colchester to win ✗ | 40% | 2.53 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Colchester / FT Colchester ✗ | 21% | 4.86 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.04 | – |
Form
Colchester – last 6
| 5 Sep | @ Swindon Town | 1–3 | L |
| 1 Sep | @ Bristol Rovers | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Rochdale | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Oldham | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Accrington ST | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Aug | vs Southampton | 0–2 | L |
Crewe – last 6
| 5 Sep | vs York | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Sep | vs Walsall | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Port Vale | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Aug | @ Barnsley | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Northampton | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | @ Crawley Town | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colchester and Crewe.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 13 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | -8 | 9 |
More League Two predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Colchester vs Crewe?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Colchester vs Crewe?
On our numbers Colchester have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Crewe 37%.
How many goals will there be in Colchester vs Crewe?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Colchester vs Crewe?
Colchester vs Crewe (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.