Value bet: Northampton to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNorthampton to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.36
Shrewsbury vs Northampton preview and prediction
The match
Northampton travel to The Croud Meadow in the League Two on Saturday 12 September (15:00 WAT) to face Shrewsbury. Shrewsbury are 15th with 18 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Northampton sit 21st on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Shrewsbury's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Fleetwood Town 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Northampton's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Newport County 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Northampton arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.8 for Shrewsbury and 1.0 for Northampton. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely.
Value angle: Northampton to win at 2.62 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Shrewsbury 0–0 Northampton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shrewsbury35%fair 2.86 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.00
Northampton41%fair 2.47 · @2.62
1.80Expected goals
0.85Shrewsbury xG
0.95Northampton xG
47%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
0–116%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%
From our goals model: Shrewsbury 0.8 – 1.0 Northampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Northampton to win✗
41%
2.47
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.36
–
Form
Shrewsbury – last 6
LLWLLL
5 Sep
@ Fleetwood Town
0–2
L
1 Sep
@ Rochdale
0–3
L
29 Aug
vs Salford City
1–0
W
25 Aug
@ Fleetwood Town
0–4
L
22 Aug
vs Barnet
1–3
L
15 Aug
@ Tranmere
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Northampton – last 6
WDDLLD
5 Sep
vs Newport County
1–0
W
1 Sep
vs Crawley Town
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Gillingham
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Crewe
0–1
L
18 Aug
vs Brighton U21
0–3
L
15 Aug
vs Swindon Town
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shrewsbury and Northampton.
What is the prediction for Shrewsbury vs Northampton?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Northampton?
On our numbers Shrewsbury have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Northampton 41%.
How many goals will there be in Shrewsbury vs Northampton?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shrewsbury vs Northampton?
Our predicted score is Shrewsbury 0–0 Northampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Shrewsbury vs Northampton?
Shrewsbury vs Northampton (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Croud Meadow.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
