Value bet: Crewe to win @ 2.65 – our chance 46% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCrewe to win ✓46% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓10% · fair 9.53
Crawley Town vs Crewe preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Crawley Town take on Crewe on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at The Broadfield Stadium. Crawley Town are 24th with 9 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Crewe sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Crawley Town's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Watford 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Crewe's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Accrington ST 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Crewe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Crawley Town and 1.5 for Crewe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Crawley Town 32%, draw 22%, Crewe 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Crewe to win at 2.65 – 46% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Crawley Town 1–1 Crewe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Crawley Town32%fair 3.08 · @2.56
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Crewe46%fair 2.19 · @2.65
2.63Expected goals
1.17Crawley Town xG
1.46Crewe xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Crawley Town 1.2 – 1.5 Crewe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Crewe to win✓
46%
2.19
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Crewe / FT Crewe✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
10%
9.53
–
Form
Crawley Town – last 6
LWLLWL
8 Aug
@ Watford
0–1
L
3 Aug
@ York
2–0
W
31 Jul
vs Reading
0–1
L
28 Jul
@ Oxford United
1–3
L
25 Jul
@ Eastleigh
1–0
W
6 Apr
vs Grimsby
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Crewe – last 6
WDLWDW
8 Aug
vs Accrington ST
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Chester
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Birmingham
1–2
L
21 Jul
@ AFC Telford United
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs Stoke City
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ Witton Albion
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crawley Town and Crewe.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Crawley Town vs Crewe?
On our numbers Crawley Town have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Crewe 46%.
How many goals will there be in Crawley Town vs Crewe?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crawley Town vs Crewe?
Our predicted score is Crawley Town 1–1 Crewe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Crawley Town vs Crewe?
Crawley Town vs Crewe (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Broadfield Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
