Value bet: Port Vale to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPort Vale to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.30
Oldham vs Port Vale preview and prediction
The match
Port Vale travel to Boundary Park in the League Two on Saturday 15 August (12:30 WAT) to face Oldham. Oldham are 18th with 15 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Port Vale sit 19th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Oldham's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Stoke City 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Port Vale's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Wolves 0–3 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Port Vale arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Oldham and 1.3 for Port Vale. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Oldham 36%, draw 24%, Port Vale 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Port Vale to win at 2.70 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Oldham 1–1 Port Vale. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oldham36%fair 2.80 · @2.58
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Port Vale40%fair 2.50 · @2.70
2.48Expected goals
1.20Oldham xG
1.29Port Vale xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Oldham 1.2 – 1.3 Port Vale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Port Vale to win✗
40%
2.50
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Port Vale / FT Port Vale✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.30
–
Form
Oldham – last 6
LWLLLD
8 Aug
@ Stoke City
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Sheffield Wednesday
4–0
W
28 Jul
vs Stockport County
0–1
L
21 Jul
vs Bolton
1–3
L
14 Apr
@ Barrow
2–3
L
6 Apr
vs Milton Keynes Dons
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Port Vale – last 6
LWWWWW
7 Aug
@ Wolves
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Blackpool
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Real Murcia
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Wigan
3–1
W
14 Jul
vs Tamworth
5–0
W
28 Apr
@ Stockport County
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oldham and Port Vale.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Oldham vs Port Vale?
On our numbers Oldham have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Port Vale 40%.
How many goals will there be in Oldham vs Port Vale?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oldham vs Port Vale?
Our predicted score is Oldham 1–1 Port Vale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Oldham vs Port Vale?
Oldham vs Port Vale (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Boundary Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
