Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Chesterfield or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Chesterfield to win @ 1.81 – our chance 64% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChesterfield to win ✗64% · @1.81
Double chanceChesterfield or draw ✗86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.29
Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town preview and prediction
The match
The League Two sees Chesterfield take on Fleetwood Town on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at SMH Group Stadium. Chesterfield are 10th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Fleetwood Town sit 16th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chesterfield's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Fleetwood Town 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Fleetwood Town's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Chesterfield 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 August 2026, finished Fleetwood Town 1–0 Chesterfield.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Chesterfield and 0.7 for Fleetwood Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chesterfield 64%, draw 21%, Fleetwood Town 14%.
Safer route: Chesterfield or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Chesterfield to win at 1.81 – 64% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chesterfield or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chesterfield 1–0 Fleetwood Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chesterfield64%fair 1.56 · @1.81
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.50
Fleetwood Town14%fair 6.92 · @4.30
2.61Expected goals
1.87Chesterfield xG
0.74Fleetwood Town xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Chesterfield 1.9 – 0.7 Fleetwood Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town?
Our pick is Chesterfield or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town?
On our numbers Chesterfield have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fleetwood Town 14%.
How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town?
Our predicted score is Chesterfield 1–0 Fleetwood Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town?
Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
