Value bet: Accrington ST to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAccrington ST to win ✗43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.01
Accrington ST vs Colchester preview and prediction
The match
Accrington ST host Colchester in the League Two on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at The Wham Stadium. Accrington ST are 9th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Colchester sit 23rd on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Accrington ST's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Crewe 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Colchester's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Southampton 0–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Accrington ST arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 April 2026, finished Colchester 2–1 Accrington ST.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Accrington ST and 1.2 for Colchester. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Accrington ST 43%, draw 22%, Colchester 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Accrington ST to win at 2.55 – 43% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Accrington ST 1–1 Colchester. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Accrington ST43%fair 2.32 · @2.55
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.25
Colchester35%fair 2.87 · @2.72
2.48Expected goals
1.33Accrington ST xG
1.15Colchester xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Accrington ST 1.3 – 1.2 Colchester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Colchester?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Colchester?
On our numbers Accrington ST have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Colchester 35%.
How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Colchester?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Accrington ST vs Colchester?
Our predicted score is Accrington ST 1–1 Colchester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Accrington ST vs Colchester?
Accrington ST vs Colchester (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Wham Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
